Amdahl Bottleneck Dominance Test

HYPOTHESIS

Increasing frontier reasoning model intelligence by ≥2× yields <15% reduction in total loop wall-clock latency, because loop latency is asymptotically dominated by non-reasoning phases (compilation, physical disk I/O, container orchestrations, network round-trips, and test verification suites).

Pre-registered test against the founder prior to ensure Ostrium is prepared to discover when intelligence is not the binding constraint.

KILL CONDITION

2× intelligence scaling produces proportional total loop speedup (>50%), falsifying the Amdahl constraint claim.

Falsification metric

Phase-by-phase wall-clock latency distribution

PROTOCOL

Scope

Automated reasoning-to-validation loops in complex environments

Latency nodes

reasoning, engineering

Success condition

If non-reasoning phases account for ≥80% of total loop time, intelligence is not the dominant bottleneck for this capability class.

Target commitment

2027-06-30

EVIDENCE

No replicated experimental results recorded for this program.